Lagos, 12 States to Experience Longer Rainfall in 2026 – NiMet
The Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) has forecast a longer rainy season in Lagos and 12 other states in 2026, while predicting shorter rainfall duration in parts of the North.
According to the agency’s 2026 Seasonal Climate Prediction (SCP), states expected to witness extended rainfall include Lagos, Benue, Enugu, Ebonyi, Ogun, Oyo, Nasarawa, Anambra, Kwara, Kebbi, Kaduna, Gombe, and Taraba. In contrast, Borno, Yobe, and Niger states are projected to experience shorter rainy seasons.
NiMet also warned of severe dry spells exceeding 15 days between March and May in parts of Oyo and Ogun states. Moderate dry spells are expected in Ekiti, Kogi, Osun, Ondo, Ogun, Edo, Ebonyi, Abia, Cross River, and Delta states, as well as parts of Kogi and Kwara.
The agency further predicted that the Little Dry Season, commonly referred to as the August Break, will begin in late July. It is expected to be severe and prolonged in Lagos, Ogun, Ekiti, and parts of Oyo, with between 28 and 40 days of little or no rainfall. A moderate August Break is projected for Ondo and parts of Kwara and Edo states.
Between June and August, a severe dry spell lasting up to 21 days is forecast for parts of Bauchi, Borno, Gombe, Jigawa, Katsina, Kano, Kebbi, Kwara, Nasarawa, Niger, Oyo, Plateau, Sokoto, Yobe,e and Zamfara states.
Unveiling the prediction in Abuja, the Minister of Aviation and Aerospace Development, Festus Keyamo, said the growing impact of climate variability and climate change continues to influence aviation safety, economic planning, food security, infrastructure development, and national security.
He stressed that timely and accurate weather information is essential to achieving economic stability, strengthening food systems, improving infrastructure resilience, and protecting lives and livelihoods.
NiMet’s Director-General and Nigeria’s Permanent Representative to the World Meteorological Organisation, Prof. Charles Anosike, reaffirmed the agency’s commitment to translating the SCP into practical guidance for local farmers to boost agricultural productivity and climate resilience.
He disclosed that NiMet is accelerating the deployment of digital advisory services in collaboration with local and international partners, but noted that broader collaboration with state governments and stakeholders is necessary to expand the reach of climate information.
The agency reiterated its commitment to delivering reliable weather and climate data to support the development of a climate-resilient economy
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